Third party alliance like PL, NC., Russians, Test and Tri have an overall efficiency of 84,9%. Compared to the 57% which both Imperium and Provi Bloc are at, it’s a strong result but to be expected by the veterans making up the Third party groups. A total of over 82B worth of spaceships have been destroyed in the last 48 hours, with Provi Bloc and Imperium both losing around 35B each. Third parties have 12B of losses. The amount of active pilots from Provi are increasing and they fielded 825 ships in the period versus 1303 from Imperium. Goonswarm Federation members make out ⅓ of the Imperium pilots and if you add in Fidelas Constans the 2 alliances make up half of the Imperium forces. The other Imperium alliances are at 150 or below with Razor at the bottom and only fielding 16 pilots. My old alliance TNT only showed up with 50 pilots. Thats 2,5% of their total member count. It may appear that the Provi campaign has been less popular than Imperium high command anticipated.
On the infrastructure side Imperium have had more success and have killed 32 i-hubs since their campaign began. Thats 16B in losses for the provi side but far less than the number disparity between Provi Bloc and Imperium would suggest. At the time of writing there is only 7 timers in all of Providence where 6 of the 7 belong to Imperium. It appears that the wind pretty much has left the Imperium sails and they need to start all over again with their invasion.
Given that Imperium totals 41K members and Provi Bloc only has 10K members I find it weak from the Imperium they cannot field more pilots. This was their big testing of Fozzie sov and they should be able to outnumber Provi Bloc at least 2:1 overall. At least! I am very positively surprised by how well Provi Bloc are defending themselves. They have only lost handful of systems while killing as much of Imperium as they are losing. How much of this is due to third parties I am not sure of but it does look like Imperium is at it’s weakest in a long time and their performance is sub par.
I am not suggesting that Imperium are weak and their preparations for Fozzie sov was better than any other coalition. The consolidation of territories and running up their indexes makes the northern fortress quite strong. The recruitment of masses of ratters and miners have been a success in this regard but how has it affected their pvp side? Based on what's happening in Providence there is clear downward trend. The Imperium are not showing the kind of strength they displayed when they routed Black Legion, Darkeshi and NC. earlier this year.
CFC/Imperium have been very good at coming back from defeats and the pockets of the coalition are endless. They can lose ships constantly and their SRP funds will only slightly be reduced. Provi Bloc has more of a challenge in this area as their SRP funds aren’t that vast. They have also been involved in more or less constant warfare for close to a year. At least it definitely seems to have increased their piloting and FC skills as they have proven over this week. Will the Imperium manage to bounce back and fulfill their promise to burn Providence to the ground? I am looking forward to follow this war over the next days/weeks.